Field brief · North America + Europe

Renewing the inherited church

Church revitalization asks a hard, missional question: when a congregation is plateaued or declining, what should be renewed, what must change, and when is a replant the more faithful path?

Research current to 2 October 2026
01 / THE FIELD

Four signals to hold together

The data resists both panic and easy revival narratives. Closures slightly exceeded openings in the United States in 2024; post-pandemic attendance has stabilized unevenly; small churches carry most congregational infrastructure; and England’s measured rebound remains below 2019.

Survey or administrative data Secondary reporting Caution / gap
−200US net churches, 2024

3,800 Protestant churches started; 4,000 closed. Estimate from 35 groups covering 58% of Protestant churches. Lifeway, Jan 2026

69%under 100 weekly

Share of US Protestant churches averaging fewer than 100 in weekend attendance; they serve 20% of churchgoers. FACT 2025 analysis

8 yrsmedian pastoral tenure

Among surveyed evangelical and Black Protestant pastors; burnout cited for predecessor departures doubled to 22% from 10% a decade earlier. Lifeway, May 2025

−18%CofE weekly adults vs 2019

Approximate gap in 2024; four years of increases have not restored pre-pandemic attendance, and the rebound is slowing. Eames data, Sept 2026

The first decision is not which program to run.

It is which future the evidence supports: renew the existing congregation, foster it through a time-bound partnership, adopt or merge it, replant after closure, or close while directing assets toward continued gospel use.

Field distinctionRevitalization preserves and renews the existing congregation. Replanting ends the old congregation and births a new church that carries forward its legacy.
02 / WHO IS SHAPING THE FIELD

Thought leaders

No single school owns the conversation. The field ranges from diagnostic research and strategic planning to shepherding, ordinary-means renewal, small-church advocacy, replanting, and European institutional renewal.

North America · research

Thom S. Rainer

Founder & CEO, Church Answers; former LifeWay president

The field’s best-known diagnostic synthesizer: markers of decline, change leadership, and practical pathways from autopsy to renewal.

Autopsy of a Deceased Church (2014) · Anatomy of a Revived Church (2019)
North America · practice

Sam Rainer

President, Church Answers; lead pastor, West Bradenton Baptist

Step-by-step tools for established congregations and a strong case for the return of the place-based neighborhood church.

The Church Revitalization Checklist (2022) · The Surprising Return of the Neighborhood Church (2023)
North America · missiology

Ed Stetzer

Dean, Talbot School of Theology; Lausanne North America

Bridges research and practice, pressing revitalization toward evangelism, contextual mission, and church planting.

Planting Missional Churches (2006) · Transformational Church (2010, with Rainer)
North America · replanting

Mark Clifton

Lead National Strategist for Revitalization/Replanting, NAMB

Treats replanting as its own discipline and argues that some congregations should die with dignity so a new church can carry their legacy.

Reclaiming Glory (2016; updated 2023) · Rubicons of Revitalization
North America · shepherding

Brian Croft

Founder, Practical Shepherding; Senior Fellow, Mathena Center

Centers renewal on preaching, prayer, pastoral care, and the patient shepherding of wounded congregations.

Biblical Church Revitalization (2016)
North America · confessional

Harry L. Reeder III

Briarwood Presbyterian senior pastor, 1999–2023

Rooted revitalization in theological fidelity and the ordinary means of grace: Word, sacrament, and prayer.

From Embers to a Flame (2008, with David Swavely)
North America · small church

Karl Vaters

Small-church pastor, author, and host of The Church Lobby

Challenges growth-movement assumptions: health is not the same as size, and lasting renewal often comes through small nudges.

The Grasshopper Myth (2012) · 100 Days to a Healthier Church (2020)
North America · strategy

Aubrey Malphurs

DTS leadership professor; founder, The Malphurs Group

Made strategic planning, clarified values, and mission alignment central tools for congregational renewal.

Advanced Strategic Planning (1999; 3rd ed. 2013)
North America · preaching

Andrew M. Davis

Pastor, First Baptist Church of Durham

Offers a deliberately biblical, expository, preaching-centered account of helping churches come alive again.

Revitalize (2017)
North America · research

Ryan Burge

Political scientist, Washington University in St. Louis; American Baptist pastor

Brings statistical rigor to the decline debate: debunks easy revival narratives with data and documents the hollowing out of moderate congregations. Pastored a small church that ultimately closed.

The Nones · The Vanishing Church (2026)
Europe · Anglican

Sarah Jackson

Church Revitalisation Trust / Church of England

Represents institutional renewal and church planting inside England’s historic parish system and the HTB network.

Practitioner and strategist; current title described in a 2026 interview
Europe · formation

Christian Selvaratnam

Dean of Church Planting, St Hild College; Asbury DMin

Connects practical theology, church planting, growth, and renewal while training Anglican, Baptist, and other practitioners.

Scholarly and training work across the UK and Europe
Europe · independent evangelical

Phil Walter

FIEC Church Revitalisation Coordinator

Built a UK programme around stronger congregations helping struggling ones. Role is drawn from a circa-2014 source; current status is unverified.

Programme builder; role currency is an open question
03 / THE AGENDA

Ten questions that matter now

These are the decisions behind the techniques. They determine whether a church treats decline as a facilities problem, a leadership problem, a discipleship problem, a missional problem—or some combination.

Revitalize, foster, replant, merge, or close?

The newest option is church fostering: a time-bound partnership in which a stronger church supplies leadership, people, and money without making the relationship a permanent merger. The central dispute is how long renewal in place remains responsible.

How honest is the diagnosis?

Every school begins with assessment: lifecycle, attendance pattern, community change, finances, leadership health, and spiritual vitality. Diagnosis must distinguish temporary post-COVID disruption from structural decline.

Can leadership stay long enough?

A median tenure of eight years is encouraging, yet burnout behind predecessor departures has risen. Revitalization needs patient leadership, trust repair, and succession planning—not a quick turnaround script.

What can change without changing the faith?

Rainer’s change framework separates doctrine from method. In practice, the obstacle is often inherited authority, memory, and conflict; Croft’s shepherding emphasis supplies the pastoral counterweight to systems-led change.

When does a merger create life?

About 12% of reported SBC closures in 2023 became mergers into another SBC church. Practitioners warn that two unhealthy churches do not become healthy merely by combining; mission, leadership, and communication must precede structure.

What belongs on the scorecard?

Attendance and finances reveal real patterns, but they cannot carry the whole definition of health. The live question is how to measure discipleship, evangelistic fruit, prayer, leadership multiplication, neighborhood presence, and mission participation together.

Is renewal Word- and prayer-driven?

Davis, Croft, and Reeder converge on preaching and prayer; Stetzer presses the result outward toward evangelism and planting. Programmatic activity without a spiritual and evangelistic engine rarely changes the church’s trajectory.

Is the staffing model still viable?

Nearly half of evangelical pastors are bivocational in the National Survey of Religious Leaders analysis. Plans built around a full-time solo pastor can misread the economic reality of small and declining churches.

Can a small church be a healthy church?

Most US Protestant churches average under 100, while Europe’s parish structure carries many very small congregations. Vaters’s challenge is essential: smallness may demand adaptation, but it is not itself failure.

What actually causes decline?

Confessional voices stress doctrinal drift; missional voices stress evangelistic failure; sociological readings stress secularization. The available data shows patterns, not controlled causal proof, so diagnosis should resist single-cause certainty.

04 / FORMATION + FIELDWORK

How US seminaries contribute to church revitalization

Researched October 2026. The strongest contributions combine theological formation, in-context practice, working-pastor degrees, and denominational field networks. Outcome measurement has not kept pace with program growth.

Overwhelmingly a Southern Baptist ecosystem

Five of the six SBC seminaries have named, substantive revitalization work. Among non-SBC evangelical schools, only Asbury—through Seedbed, New Room, and its Global Methodist partnership—and Trinity Evangelical Divinity School’s Center for Transformational Churches show comparable commitments.

What is absent or unsettled

DTS, Fuller, and Westminster have no dedicated revitalization center or degree. No mainline seminary involvement was found. TEDS is moving under Trinity Western University for fall 2026, so the center’s current status remains unverified. TEDS center profile · 2020

SBTS · endowed center + doctorate

Mathena Center for Church Revitalization

Founded in summer 2014 with a $1 million endowment and led by Senior Fellow Brian Croft. Its pedagogy joins pastoral theology, healthy ecclesiology, and soul care. Students can take a one-year internship for credit; the center also offers a ten-video principles series. Its decade celebration around 2025 included a remodeled campus center and a book of reflections from 12 internship alumni. A DMin in Church Revitalization serves working pastors.

SBTS · Mathena Center decade · SBTS · DMin
SEBTS · broadest academic portfolio

Degrees from certificate to doctorate

An 84-hour MDiv is available fully online or on campus; a 51-hour MA was built with the Revitalize Network and Church Answers; a cohort-based DMin in Church Growth & Revitalization uses contextualized learning; and a 12-hour certificate adds an entry route. Courses include “Knowing Your Church and Community Practicum” and “Organizational Change and Conflict Resolution.” The Equip Network allows up to 36 master’s credit hours under local church leaders.

SEBTS · MDiv · SEBTS · MA · SEBTS · DMin · Equip Network
MBTS · stackable applied training

Practicum-heavy pathways

A 15-hour Church Revitalization Certificate is built from five applied courses in evangelism, ecclesiology, stewardship, planting leadership, and outreach. Midwestern also offers a Master of Applied Theology emphasis and a DMin concentration in church revitalization.

Midwestern · certificates
NOBTS · course + field integration

Leavell Center and NAMB-linked formation

The Leavell Center for Evangelism and Church Health runs conferences and think tanks on revitalization. NOBTS offers a Church Revitalization course taught with NAMB’s “Am I a Replanter” conference, a mentoring-format course with a 30-hour ministry placement, and a PhD seminar in revitalization and strategic leadership.

NOBTS · 2024–25 catalog · Course syllabus · 2023

Partnerships and field models

  • SEBTS formally partners with the Revitalize Network and Church Answers on its MA; SWBTS’s Center for Church Revitalization, launched in 2019, cooperated with NAMB’s replanting team, but no activity was found after August 2020. SEBTS partnership · SWBTS launch
  • NOBTS hosts a NAMB church-planting center on campus, connecting academic preparation with field practice.
  • Asbury’s circa-2022 MOU with the Global Methodist Church pairs planting and revitalization commitments with dollar-for-dollar matching grants for Asbury graduates planting GMC churches. Asbury · GMC agreement

NAMB as the field-training arm

  • A free 40-week Replant Cohort uses weekly sessions and a curriculum developed by Mark Clifton and Brian Croft. Baptist Press · cohort
  • A three-day Replant Practitioner Lab trains pastors and associational mission strategists in assessment, renewal strategy, and the replanting process. Practitioner Lab · Mar 2026

Faculty and practitioner voices: Brian Croft (SBTS), Thom Rainer (Church Answers / Revitalize Network), Mark Clifton (NAMB), Harry L. Reeder III, Bill Henard, Andrew Davis, Scott Hildreth (SEBTS), and Chuck Lawless. It is a small, concentrated practitioner circle rather than a broad empirical research field. Church Answers · field reading

05 / REGIONAL EVIDENCE

Two contexts, uneven data

North America has recurring survey infrastructure. Europe does not have a comparable pan-European revitalization dataset; most reliable figures here are UK and Church of England measures. That asymmetry is itself a finding.

North America

Primarily United States Protestant data

The rise of the city network. Every major metro now has church-planting networks organized around the city rather than a denomination: Houston's HCPN (160+ churches across 30+ networks), Tampa Underground (100+ microchurches), the LA Church Planting Movement, the Bay Area's TBC, New York's City to City (1,633 churches by 2023). Their independence is real in governance but partial in capital. Most trace to a mother megachurch, a para-church funder, or a philanthropist, while the largest city-targeted planting money remains denominational (NAMB's Send Cities). Their signature contribution is assessment and coaching, the best-evidenced driver of plant survival. The gap: independent networks plant; they rarely revitalize. Replanting at scale is still denominational work.

  • 4,000closures in 2024

    Estimated alongside 3,800 starts. In 2019, closures exceeded openings by 1,500; in 2014, openings exceeded closures by 300. Denominational coverage was 58%, so these are modeled estimates rather than a census.

    Lifeway Research reporting · Jan 2026
  • 52%grew ≥4% over two years

    Among 1,001 Protestant pastors surveyed in late 2024; 33% plateaued and 15% declined. Lifeway attributed much of the increase to people returning, not necessarily conversion growth.

    Lifeway survey · Sept–Oct 2024
  • 46%declined ≥5% in five years

    Across congregations in the FACT 2025 analysis; 43% grew at least 5%. Growth was concentrated in larger churches: 67% of megachurches grew.

    FACT 2025 analysis · Sept 2026
  • 47%evangelical pastors bivocational

    Up from 28% in 2001 in the analysis cited; 66% of all clergy entered ministry after another career. The staffing and funding baseline has shifted.

    NSRL analysis · June 2025
  • 1.2%left ministry in 2025

    For reasons other than retirement or death; statistically unchanged from 2015 and 2021. The deeper concern is not mass departure but burnout, conflict, fit, and succession.

    Lifeway Research · May 2025
  • +1/yrGen Z "revival" vs Millennials

    Barna's widely shared claim that Gen Z are America's top church-attenders collapses on reading: the sample is only already-churched adults, and the real gap is 1.9 vs 1.8 services a month — one extra service a year. Burge: "No one read the actual report."

    Burge analysis · Dec 2025
  • +2M · +9,000nondenominational growth, 2010-2020

    Nondenominational churches gained about two million attendees and 9,000 congregations in a decade, becoming the third-largest religious group in the US. Many "nondenominational" churches are affiliated under the hood.

    US Religion Census 2020
  • 68%survive to year four with assessment and coaching

    Among 2,266 funded plants, survival ran 99/92/81/68% across years one to four where assessment, preparation, and coaching were in place. The finding is dated and drawn from a funded sample.

    Stetzer / Center for Missional Research · 2007

Europe

UK-heavy; continental outcomes remain largely unmeasured

No city-network layer. Europe has no freestanding, city-branded church-planting network comparable to the American model, with one exception: London's Co-Mission (27 churches and affiliates, 3 planted in the year to August 2025), explicitly "a church-planting network, not a denomination." Everywhere else, planting flows through denominational programs, national ministries, and diaspora churches. Europe plants too, through different vehicles. The American model is non-denominational in spirit and cross-denominational in practice; Europe's state-church landscape never created the vacuum it fills. City to City works in more than 30 European cities, but as a funding and leadership pipeline — its London Project (250 churches, 25 networks, all 32 boroughs) is the prototype, not the pattern.

  • 1.02mCofE worshipping community

    In 2024, up from 1.01m in 2023 but below 1.11m in 2019. Typical Sunday attendance was 582,000; average weekly attendance 701,000.

    Statistics for Mission 2024 · Oct 2025
  • 48%lower on every measure

    Approximate share of CofE churches with all attendance measures lower in 2024 than in 2019; about 12% were higher on every measure.

    Statistics for Mission 2024, p.20
  • 15CofE buildings closed in 2024

    Closures are at their lowest rate since the 1970s and did not accelerate after the pandemic. Administrative totals show 811 closures since 1990, among roughly 15,700 consecrated buildings.

    Hansard written answer · Sept 2025
  • 3,500UK churches shut in a decade

    A broader National Churches Trust estimate across denominations; 38,500 churches, chapels, and meeting houses remain open for worship, including 20,000 listed buildings.

    National Churches Trust manifesto · 2024
  • 46%England identified Christian

    The 2021 Census was the first in which the figure fell below half; 37% reported no religion. Self-identification is not the same measure as attendance.

    ONS 2021 Census reporting
  • 27 + affiliatesCo-Mission churches, London

    The continent's only verified freestanding city-branded planting network: 27 churches plus affiliates; 3 planted in the year to August 2025, 3 more planned, goal of 10 more by 2029. Conservative evangelical Anglican roots.

    Charity Commission accounts · 2025
  • ~1,500new worshipping communities funded

    Against the 10,000-by-2030 goal (about 15%); net +730 in 2024. Planting inside the parish system — the evidence points to catalyzing within it rather than crowding out independents.

    Church of England reporting · 2025
  • 296UK churches in five years

    The most of any single UK denomination (RCCG) — dense diaspora multiplication, not coordinated city strategy. A further 230-300 parishes across mainland Europe.

    Denominational reporting · 2025
06 / PRACTITIONER FRAME

What leaders need to do

The evidence does not identify a universally successful intervention. It does support a disciplined order of work: tell the truth, choose the right pathway, rebuild trust, and reconnect renewal to mission.

  1. Run a whole-church diagnosis.Pair attendance, finances, and demographic change with prayer, discipleship, evangelism, leadership health, conflict, and neighborhood presence.
  2. Name the decision horizon.Set explicit criteria and timing for revitalization, fostering, adoption, replant, or closure. Indefinite ambiguity consumes people and resources.
  3. Secure patient leadership.Plan for a long tenure, a real succession path, bivocational realities, and pastoral support strong enough to absorb conflict without normalizing burnout.
  4. Separate doctrine from method.State what is biblically non-negotiable and what can change. Then explain change repeatedly, especially to those carrying institutional memory.
  5. Use a fuller scorecard.Track participation and giving, but also conversions, baptisms, mature disciples, leaders formed, neighborhood relationships, prayer, and sending.
  6. Build outward from Word and prayer.Make evangelism and mission the fruit of spiritual renewal—not a parallel department added to keep a declining system busy.
  7. Map your city's networks.If you are planting, borrow their assessment and coaching before you borrow their money. If you are revitalizing, know the replant pipeline still runs mostly through denominational arms, and partner accordingly.
  8. In Europe, partner with the vehicles that exist.Don't import the American network template. Work through denominational programs, national ministries, and diaspora churches — and study Co-Mission's funding mix of local giving, trusts, and foundation grants.
07 / START HERE

Core reading

These books and reports recur across the field because they represent its major lenses: diagnosis, replanting, shepherding, ordinary-means renewal, change leadership, and national data.

Thom S. RainerAutopsy of a Deceased Church · 2014
Mark CliftonReclaiming Glory · 2016; updated 2023
Brian CroftBiblical Church Revitalization · 2016
Harry L. Reeder III & David SwavelyFrom Embers to a Flame · 2008
Thom S. RainerWho Moved My Pulpit? · 2016
Lifeway Research + Hartford FACTChurch closures (Jan 2026) · FACT 2025 report (May 2026)
Revitalize NetworkConnected to Thom Rainer and Church Answers, the network centers on the Revitalize Bundle. A certified coach helps the pastor interpret three assessments—MyEQScore.com’s pastoral self-assessment, ChurchHealthReport.com’s church health assessment, and Percept’s First View community demographic and psychographic profile—and build a customized revitalization plan. NAMB partnered to extend the bundle beyond the South, covering half the cost for participating churches, and sponsors the Revitalize & Replant podcast co-hosted by Rainer and Mark Clifton; the network also offers peer networking, facility evaluations, educational scholarships, and help with church mergers and acquisitions.
A research brief for missional church practice. Figures are dated and caveated; Europe-wide outcome evidence remains a major research gap.

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